How is the Indian market feeling today?
Updated todayWhat this means today
- The market mood is cautious — more people are worried than excited.
- Global and local signals (volatility, foreign flows, breadth) point to a defensive, risk-off backdrop.
- Valuations are below their 10-year average — phases like this have tended to favour steady SIPs; lump sums can be staggered over a few months.
Check my mix
How is your equity split across company sizes? We compare it with the typical range for today's market. Nothing is saved — it stays in this page's link.
typical range for today's market (regime score 29) yours
- Your large-cap share (55%) is below the usual 70–90% range for today's market (regime score 29). If it suits your goals, new SIPs could top it up gradually.
- Your small-cap share (15%) is above the usual 0–10% range for today's market (regime score 29). Consider pointing new investments elsewhere rather than exiting existing ones.
Covers equity only — not debt, gold or cash. Educational, not investment advice.
Last 90 days
Regime tracking started 10 Oct 2026.
| Date | Mood | Regime |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | 41 | — |
| 2026-06-13 | 43 | — |
| 2026-06-14 | 44 | — |
| 2026-06-15 | 44 | — |
| 2026-06-16 | 45 | — |
| 2026-06-17 | 45 | — |
| 2026-06-18 | 47 | — |
| 2026-06-19 | 48 | — |
| 2026-06-20 | 48 | — |
| 2026-06-21 | 47 | — |
| 2026-06-22 | 47 | — |
| 2026-06-23 | 48 | — |
| 2026-06-24 | 47 | — |
| 2026-06-25 | 46 | — |
| 2026-06-26 | 47 | — |
| 2026-06-27 | 47 | — |
| 2026-06-28 | 47 | — |
| 2026-06-29 | 47 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 47 | — |
| 2026-07-01 | 46 | — |
| 2026-07-02 | 46 | — |
| 2026-07-03 | 47 | — |
| 2026-07-04 | 49 | — |
| 2026-07-05 | 49 | — |
| 2026-07-06 | 49 | — |
| 2026-07-07 | 50 | — |
| 2026-07-08 | 50 | — |
| 2026-07-09 | 48 | — |
| 2026-07-10 | 45 | — |
| 2026-07-11 | 47 | — |
| 2026-07-12 | 49 | — |
| 2026-07-13 | 49 | — |
| 2026-07-14 | 49 | — |
| 2026-08-15 | 48 | — |
| 2026-08-16 | 48 | — |
| 2026-08-17 | 48 | — |
| 2026-08-18 | 48 | — |
| 2026-08-19 | 48 | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 48 | — |
| 2026-08-21 | 48 | — |
| 2026-08-22 | 48 | — |
| 2026-08-23 | 48 | — |
| 2026-08-24 | 48 | — |
| 2026-08-25 | 48 | — |
| 2026-08-26 | 48 | — |
| 2026-08-27 | 48 | — |
| 2026-08-28 | 48 | — |
| 2026-08-29 | 48 | — |
| 2026-08-30 | 48 | — |
| 2026-08-31 | 48 | — |
| 2026-09-01 | 48 | — |
| 2026-09-02 | 48 | — |
| 2026-09-03 | 47 | — |
| 2026-09-04 | 47 | — |
| 2026-09-05 | 47 | — |
| 2026-09-06 | 47 | — |
| 2026-09-07 | 47 | — |
| 2026-09-08 | 47 | — |
| 2026-09-09 | 46 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | 46 | — |
| 2026-09-11 | 46 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | 46 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | 45 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | 45 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | 45 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | 45 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | 43 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | 44 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | 45 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | 46 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | 46 | — |
| 2026-09-22 | 46 | — |
| 2026-09-23 | 46 | — |
| 2026-09-24 | 46 | — |
| 2026-09-25 | 45 | — |
| 2026-09-26 | 44 | — |
| 2026-09-27 | 45 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | 45 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | 44 | — |
| 2026-09-30 | 42 | — |
| 2026-10-01 | 43 | — |
| 2026-10-02 | 42 | — |
| 2026-10-03 | 41 | — |
| 2026-10-04 | 41 | — |
| 2026-10-05 | 41 | — |
| 2026-10-06 | 41 | — |
| 2026-10-07 | 41 | — |
| 2026-10-08 | 42 | — |
| 2026-10-09 | 41 | — |
| 2026-10-10 | 41 | 29 |
What's driving it
Expected volatility. Lower means calmer markets.
Foreign investors buying supports prices; selling pressures them. Source: NSDL (settled, 1-day lag).
Share of Nifty 100 stocks in an uptrend. Broad rallies are healthier.
A strengthening dollar tends to pull money out of emerging markets.
Long minus short US rates. Negative has often preceded slowdowns.
Valuation vs the 10-year average of 24.
Returns, three ways
Nifty 50 annualised, in rupees, in US dollars, and after inflation.
| Period | In ₹ | In $ | After inflation |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 year | -12.5% | -19.8% | -17.4% |
| 3 years | 5.7% | 0.5% | -0.3% |
| 5 years | 5.0% | -0.3% | -1.0% |
| 10 years | 10.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% |
| 15 years | 10.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
Rupee vs dollar: weakened 3.8% a year over 10 years (₹96.73 per $ today).
Best tracked FD: SBI 6.40%
After-inflation uses 6.0% CPI assumption. Past returns don't predict future returns.